2015 Statistics Testing Uncertainty 
datapine
DECEMBER 28, 2021
1) What Is A Misleading Statistic? 2) Are Statistics Reliable? 3) Misleading Statistics Examples In Real Life. 4) How Can Statistics Be Misleading. 5) How To Avoid & Identify The Misuse Of Statistics? If all this is true, what is the problem with statistics? What Is A Misleading Statistic?
O'Reilly on Data
JUNE 16, 2020
We know, statistically, that doubling down on an 11 is a good (and common) strategy in blackjack. But when making a decision under uncertainty about the future, two things dictate the outcome: (1) the quality of the decision and (2) chance. Mike had made the common error of equating a bad outcome with a bad decision.
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The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
APRIL 23, 2024
If $Y$ at that point is (statistically and practically) significantly better than our current operating point, and that point is deemed acceptable, we update the system parameters to this better value. Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments.
The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
JULY 22, 2020
For example, imagine a fantasy football site is considering displaying advanced player statistics. A ramp-up strategy may mitigate the risk of upsetting the site’s loyal users who perhaps have strong preferences for the current statistics that are shown. We offer two examples where this may be the case.
datapine
SEPTEMBER 4, 2023
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O'Reilly on Data
DECEMBER 9, 2019
Because of this trifecta of errors, we need dynamic models that quantify the uncertainty inherent in our financial estimates and predictions. Practitioners in all social sciences, especially financial economics, use confidence intervals to quantify the uncertainty in their estimates and predictions.
The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog
MARCH 31, 2016
We often use statistical models to summarize the variation in our data, and random effects models are well suited for this — they are a form of ANOVA after all. In the context of prediction problems, another benefit is that the models produce an estimate of the uncertainty in their predictions: the predictive posterior distribution.
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