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Humans-in-the-loop forecasting: integrating data science and business planning

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

With those stakes and the long forecast horizon, we do not rely on a single statistical model based on historical trends. For example, we may prefer one model to generate a range, but use a second scenario-based model to “stress test” the range. A single model may also not shed light on the uncertainty range we actually face.

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The trinity of errors in applying confidence intervals: An exploration using Statsmodels

O'Reilly on Data

We develop an ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression model of equity returns using Statsmodels, a Python statistical package, to illustrate these three error types. We use the diagnostic test results of our regression model to support the reasons why CIs should not be used in financial data analyses.