Remove 2006 Remove Reporting Remove Statistics Remove Uncertainty
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Our quest for robust time series forecasting at scale

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Quantification of forecast uncertainty via simulation-based prediction intervals. Prediction Intervals A statistical forecasting system should not lack uncertainty quantification. We forecast this time series from the middle of 2006 through the end of the data, for a 30-month forecast horizon.

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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

If $Y$ at that point is (statistically and practically) significantly better than our current operating point, and that point is deemed acceptable, we update the system parameters to this better value. Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments.

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Data Science, Past & Future

Domino Data Lab

He was saying this doesn’t belong just in statistics. It involved a lot of work with applied math, some depth in statistics and visualization, and also a lot of communication skills. If you look into the middle bucket, they have three things that they report in common. Tukey did this paper. It’s a great read.

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Fitting Bayesian structural time series with the bsts R package

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

SCOTT Time series data are everywhere, but time series modeling is a fairly specialized area within statistics and data science. They may contain parameters in the statistical sense, but often they simply contain strategically placed 0's and 1's indicating which bits of $alpha_t$ are relevant for a particular computation. by STEVEN L.

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Misleading Statistics Examples – Discover The Potential For Misuse of Statistics & Data In The Digital Age

datapine

1) What Is A Misleading Statistic? 2) Are Statistics Reliable? 3) Misleading Statistics Examples In Real Life. 4) How Can Statistics Be Misleading. 5) How To Avoid & Identify The Misuse Of Statistics? If all this is true, what is the problem with statistics? What Is A Misleading Statistic?