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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

This blog post discusses such a comprehensive approach that is used at Youtube. Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments. To find optimal values of two parameters experimentally, the obvious strategy would be to experiment with and update them in separate, sequential stages.

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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Instead, we focus on the case where an experimenter has decided to run a full traffic ramp-up experiment and wants to use the data from all of the epochs in the analysis. When there are changing assignment weights and time-based confounders, this complication must be considered either in the analysis or the experimental design.

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The trinity of errors in applying confidence intervals: An exploration using Statsmodels

O'Reilly on Data

Recall from my previous blog post that all financial models are at the mercy of the Trinity of Errors , namely: errors in model specifications, errors in model parameter estimates, and errors resulting from the failure of a model to adapt to structural changes in its environment. The interval [-a, a] is called a 90% confidence interval.