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What are decision support systems? Sifting data for better business decisions

CIO Business Intelligence

Decision support systems definition A decision support system (DSS) is an interactive information system that analyzes large volumes of data for informing business decisions. A DSS leverages a combination of raw data, documents, personal knowledge, and/or business models to help users make decisions. Analytics, Data Science

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The trinity of errors in financial models: An introductory analysis using TensorFlow Probability

O'Reilly on Data

They trade the markets using quantitative models based on non-financial theories such as information theory, data science, and machine learning. Whether financial models are based on academic theories or empirical data mining strategies, they are all subject to the trinity of modeling errors explained below.

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Variance and significance in large-scale online services

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

by AMIR NAJMI Running live experiments on large-scale online services (LSOS) is an important aspect of data science. We must therefore maintain statistical rigor in quantifying experimental uncertainty. In this post we explore how and why we can be “ data-rich but information-poor ”.

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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments. Experiments, Parameters and Models At Youtube, the relationships between system parameters and metrics often seem simple — straight-line models sometimes fit our data well. It is a big picture approach, worthy of your consideration.

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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

For this reason we don’t report uncertainty measures or statistical significance in the results of the simulation. From a Bayesian perspective, one can combine joint posterior samples for $E[Y_i | T_i=t, E_i=j]$ and $P(E_i=j)$, which provides a measure of uncertainty around the estimate. 2] Scott, Steven L. 2015): 37-45. [3]

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LSOS experiments: how I learned to stop worrying and love the variability

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

The result is that experimenters can’t afford to be sloppy about quantifying uncertainty. These typically result in smaller estimation uncertainty and tighter interval estimates. We previously went into some detail as to why observations in an LSOS have particularly high coefficient of variation (CV).