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Experiment design and modeling for long-term studies in ads

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

accounting for effects "orthogonal" to the randomization used in experimentation. For example in ads, experiments using cookies (users) as experimental units are not suited to capture the impact of a treatment on advertisers or publishers nor their reaction to it. To see this, imagine you want to study long-term effects in an A/B test.

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Variance and significance in large-scale online services

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

by AMIR NAJMI Running live experiments on large-scale online services (LSOS) is an important aspect of data science. We must therefore maintain statistical rigor in quantifying experimental uncertainty. In this post we explore how and why we can be “ data-rich but information-poor ”. And an LSOS is awash in data, right?

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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Instead, we focus on the case where an experimenter has decided to run a full traffic ramp-up experiment and wants to use the data from all of the epochs in the analysis. Just as in ramp-up, making inferences while ignoring the complexity of time-based confounders that are present can lead to biased estimates.