Remove 2011 Remove Experimentation Remove Risk Remove Uncertainty
article thumbnail

Why CEOs should test big digital business ideas in tiny countries.

Mark Raskino

The President of Iceland Olafur Ragnar Grimsson explained this phenomenon to me when I had the privilege to interview him in 2011 (Gartner Report: G00212784 ). “So He was talking about something we call the ‘compound uncertainty’ that must be navigated when we want to test and introduce a real breakthrough digital business idea.

Testing 53
article thumbnail

Estimating causal effects using geo experiments

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

A geo experiment is an experiment where the experimental units are defined by geographic regions. The expected precision of our inferences can be computed by simulating possible experimental outcomes. Further, there is the risk that the increased ad spend will be less productive due to diminishing returns (e.g.,