Remove 2012 Remove Measurement Remove Risk Remove Uncertainty
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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

the weight given to Likes in our video recommendation algorithm) while $Y$ is a vector of outcome measures such as different metrics of user experience (e.g., Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments. Figure 2: Spreading measurements out makes estimates of model (slope of line) more accurate.

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Our quest for robust time series forecasting at scale

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Quantification of forecast uncertainty via simulation-based prediction intervals. First, the system may not be understood, and even if it was understood it may be extremely difficult to measure the relationships that are assumed to govern its behavior. Crucially, our approach does not rely on model performance on holdout samples.

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Themes and Conferences per Pacoid, Episode 10

Domino Data Lab

Trying to dissect a model to divine an interpretation of its results is a good way to throw away much of the crucial information – especially about non-automated inputs and decisions going into our workflows – that will be required to mitigate existential risk. Measure how these decisions vary across your population.

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Estimating the prevalence of rare events — theory and practice

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

The measurement may be biased if our samples are generated from a procedure that samples without replacement, such as reservoir sampling , especially if some items have disproportionate weight, i.e., $p(v_i) cdot n$ is large. High Risk 10% 5% 33.3% 5] Ray Chambers, Robert Clark (2012). How Many Strata? 4] William Cochran (1977).

Metrics 98
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Estimating causal effects using geo experiments

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

It is important that we can measure the effect of these offline conversions as well. Panel studies make it possible to measure user behavior along with the exposure to ads and other online elements. Let's take a look at larger groups of individuals whose aggregate behavior we can measure. days or weeks).

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Misleading Statistics Examples – Discover The Potential For Misuse of Statistics & Data In The Digital Age

datapine

With the rise of advanced technology and globalized operations, statistical analyses grant businesses an insight into solving the extreme uncertainties of the market. These controlling measures are essential and should be part of any experiment or survey – unfortunately, that isn’t always the case. So, can statistics be manipulated?