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What are decision support systems? Sifting data for better business decisions

CIO Business Intelligence

A DSS supports the management, operations, and planning levels of an organization in making better decisions by assessing the significance of uncertainties and the tradeoffs involved in making one decision over another. Types of decision support system In the book Decision Support Systems: Concepts and Resources for Managers , Daniel J.

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In AI we trust? Why we Need to Talk About Ethics and Governance (part 2 of 2)

Cloudera

Systems should be designed with bias, causality and uncertainty in mind. Uncertainty is a measure of our confidence in the predictions made by a system. We need to understand and provide the greatest human oversight on systems with the greatest levels of uncertainty. System Design. Human Judgement & Oversight.

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Variance and significance in large-scale online services

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Unlike experimentation in some other areas, LSOS experiments present a surprising challenge to statisticians — even though we operate in the realm of “big data”, the statistical uncertainty in our experiments can be substantial. We must therefore maintain statistical rigor in quantifying experimental uncertainty.

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The Lean Analytics Cycle: Metrics > Hypothesis > Experiment > Act

Occam's Razor

This thought was in my mind as I was reading Lean Analytics a new book by my friend Alistair Croll and his collaborator Benjamin Yoskovitz. They preserve almost all original intent, but if you read the book, or see the cycle elsewhere, please don''t be surprised to see a slightly different version. KPI: Property bookings.

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Our quest for robust time series forecasting at scale

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Quantification of forecast uncertainty via simulation-based prediction intervals. Prediction Intervals A statistical forecasting system should not lack uncertainty quantification. Journal of Official Statistics 6.1 Disaggregation of the time series into subseries and reconciliation of the subseries forecasts. 1990): 3. [3]

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Data Science, Past & Future

Domino Data Lab

He was saying this doesn’t belong just in statistics. It involved a lot of work with applied math, some depth in statistics and visualization, and also a lot of communication skills. Also, these surveys, these are mini books: if you want to grab them, they are free downloads. Tukey did this paper. It’s a great read.

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Estimating the prevalence of rare events — theory and practice

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

But importance sampling in statistics is a variance reduction technique to improve the inference of the rate of rare events, and it seems natural to apply it to our prevalence estimation problem. Unpublished book chapter on importance sampling. [2] Statistical Science. Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research, 2010. [4]

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