Remove Cost-Benefit Remove Predictive Modeling Remove Statistics Remove Uncertainty
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Humans-in-the-loop forecasting: integrating data science and business planning

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

This classification is based on the purpose, horizon, update frequency and uncertainty of the forecast. Based on the decisions being made and how quickly plans can adjust to new forecast updates, what is the cost of forecasting too high or too low? If the costs of prediction error are asymmetric (e.g. 95th percentile).

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Using random effects models in prediction problems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Finally, through a case study of a real-world prediction problem, we also argue that Random Effect models should be considered alongside penalized GLM's even for pure prediction problems. Random effects models are a useful tool for both exploratory analyses and prediction problems.