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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

the weight given to Likes in our video recommendation algorithm) while $Y$ is a vector of outcome measures such as different metrics of user experience (e.g., Taking measurements at parameter settings further from control parameter settings leads to a lower variance estimate of the slope of the line relating the metric to the parameter.

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Measuring Incrementality: Controlled Experiments to the Rescue!

Occam's Razor

This: You understand all the environmental variables currently in play, you carefully choose more than one group of "like type" subjects, you expose them to a different mix of media, measure differences in outcomes, prove / disprove your hypothesis (DO FACEBOOK NOW!!!), Measuring Incrementality: Controlled Experiments to the Rescue!

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Experiment design and modeling for long-term studies in ads

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

by HENNING HOHNHOLD, DEIRDRE O'BRIEN, and DIANE TANG In this post we discuss the challenges in measuring and modeling the long-term effect of ads on user behavior. Nevertheless, A/B testing has challenges and blind spots, such as: the difficulty of identifying suitable metrics that give "works well" a measurable meaning.

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Knowledge

Occam's Razor

Key To Your Digital Success: Web Analytics Measurement Model. " Measuring Incrementality: Controlled Experiments to the Rescue! Barriers To An Effective Web Measurement Strategy [+ Solutions!]. Measuring Online Engagement: What Role Does Web Analytics Play? "Engagement" How Do I Measure Success?

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The Lean Analytics Cycle: Metrics > Hypothesis > Experiment > Act

Occam's Razor

First, you figure out what you want to improve; then you create an experiment; then you run the experiment; then you measure the results and decide what to do. For each of them, write down the KPI you're measuring, and what that KPI should be for you to consider your efforts a success. Measure and decide what to do.

Metrics 156
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To Balance or Not to Balance?

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

In an ideal world, experimentation through randomization of the treatment assignment allows the identification and consistent estimation of causal effects. 2007): Propose a finite collection $mathcal L={hat e_k:k=1,ldots,K}$ of estimation algorithms. This is often referred to as the positivity assumption.

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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Instead, we focus on the case where an experimenter has decided to run a full traffic ramp-up experiment and wants to use the data from all of the epochs in the analysis. When there are changing assignment weights and time-based confounders, this complication must be considered either in the analysis or the experimental design.