Predicting Movie Profitability and Risk at the Pre-production Phase
Insight
FEBRUARY 19, 2020
My goal here is not to improve upon the current prediction algorithms but rather to describe a model I devised, called ReelRisk , that uses random resampling to generate a range of predictions which can then be used as a risk assessment tool to determine early on whether to fund a movie. ROI = Profit/Budget).
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