The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

APRIL 17, 2017

Quantification of forecast uncertainty via simulation-based prediction intervals. In the first plot, the raw weekly actuals (in red) are adjusted for a level change in September 2011 and an anomalous spike near October 2012. Such a model risks conflating important aspects, notably the growth trend, with other less critical aspects.

Forecasting 83

Forecasting Modeling Statistics Uncertainty 83

Peter James Thomas

AUGUST 12, 2018

Integrity of statistical estimates based on Data. Having spent 18 years working in various parts of the Insurance industry, statistical estimates being part of the standard set of metrics is pretty familiar to me [7]. The thing with statistical estimates is that they are never a single figure but a range. million ± £0.5

Metrics 49

Metrics Statistics Data Quality Measurement 49

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

MAY 31, 2016

Statistical power is traditionally given in terms of a probability function, but often a more intuitive way of describing power is by stating the expected precision of our estimates. This is a quantity that is easily interpretable and summarizes nicely the statistical power of the experiment. In the U.S.,

Advertising 42

Advertising Testing Sales Statistics 42