Remove 2015 Remove Experimentation Remove Statistics Remove Strategy
article thumbnail

Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

If $Y$ at that point is (statistically and practically) significantly better than our current operating point, and that point is deemed acceptable, we update the system parameters to this better value. It is also a sound strategy when experimenting with several parameters at the same time. And sometimes even if it is not[1].)

article thumbnail

Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

by ALEXANDER WAKIM Ramp-up and multi-armed bandits (MAB) are common strategies in online controlled experiments (OCE). These strategies involve changing assignment weights during an experiment. The first is a strategy called ramp-up and is advised by many experts in the field [1].

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

To Balance or Not to Balance?

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

In an ideal world, experimentation through randomization of the treatment assignment allows the identification and consistent estimation of causal effects. Identification We now discuss formally the statistical problem of causal inference. We start by describing the problem using standard statistical notation.

article thumbnail

The 2015 Digital Marketing Rule Book. Change or Perish.

Occam's Razor

A huge part of the last few years for me have been about bringing more data, better strategies, more powerful tools, ever more impactful keynotes to people around the world. Get the senior-most people in the largest companies in the world to unlock their imaginations when it comes to their digital existence via impactful digital strategies.

Marketing 140
article thumbnail

The trinity of errors in applying confidence intervals: An exploration using Statsmodels

O'Reilly on Data

We develop an ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression model of equity returns using Statsmodels, a Python statistical package, to illustrate these three error types. CI theory was developed around 1937 by Jerzy Neyman, a mathematician and one of the principal architects of modern statistics. and an error term ??