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Climate change predictions: Anticipating and adapting to a warming world

IBM Big Data Hub

According to the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of the US’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA), “Climate models reduce the uncertainty of climate change impacts, which aids in adaptation.” Global Change Research Program, 2017. Learn about the IBM Sustainability Accelerator. °C limit.

Modeling 118
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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

If the relationship of $X$ to $Y$ can be approximated as quadratic (or any polynomial), the objective and constraints as linear in $Y$, then there is a way to express the optimization as a quadratically constrained quadratic program (QCQP). Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments.

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6 ecommerce trends to watch

IBM Big Data Hub

Digital optimization and automation tools have made it cheaper and easier for businesses to use customer data or third-party data, creating intelligent ecommerce sites. a new living room couch—consumers can reduce uncertainty and the likelihood of returning a product by “trying it out” in their living room.

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Our quest for robust time series forecasting at scale

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

For us, demand for forecasts emerged from a determination to better understand business growth and health, more efficiently conduct day-to-day operations, and optimize longer-term resource planning and allocation decisions. Quantification of forecast uncertainty via simulation-based prediction intervals. Accessed on 20 March 2017.

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Topics to watch at the Strata Data Conference in New York 2019

O'Reilly on Data

So, we used a form of the Term Frequency-Inverse Document Frequency (TF/IDF) technique to identify and rank the top terms in this year’s Strata NY proposal topics—as well as those for 2018, 2017, and 2016. 2) is unchanged from Strata NY 2018, it’s up three places from Strata NY 2017—and eight places relative to 2016. 221) to 2019 (No.

IoT 20
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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

For this reason we don’t report uncertainty measures or statistical significance in the results of the simulation. From a Bayesian perspective, one can combine joint posterior samples for $E[Y_i | T_i=t, E_i=j]$ and $P(E_i=j)$, which provides a measure of uncertainty around the estimate. ACM, 2017. [4] 2015): 37-45. [3]

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Fitting Bayesian structural time series with the bsts R package

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

Time series data are having something of a moment in the tech blogs right now, with Facebook announcing their "Prophet" system for time series forecasting (Taylor and Letham 2017), and Google posting about its forecasting system in this blog (Tassone and Rohani 2017). Also notice that while the state in this model is Markov (i.e.