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Measuring Validity and Reliability of Human Ratings

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

E ven after we account for disagreement, human ratings may not measure exactly what we want to measure. Researchers and practitioners have been using human-labeled data for many years, trying to understand all sorts of abstract concepts that we could not measure otherwise. That’s the focus of this blog post.

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Towards optimal experimentation in online systems

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

the weight given to Likes in our video recommendation algorithm) while $Y$ is a vector of outcome measures such as different metrics of user experience (e.g., Crucially, it takes into account the uncertainty inherent in our experiments. Figure 2: Spreading measurements out makes estimates of model (slope of line) more accurate.

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The Luck of The Irish: The Rise in Air Traffic & Irish Economic Growth

Sisense

Economic performance was measured by GDP, and this is where modern Irish economic history and our study intersect. T he value of the Irish economy is now close to €300 billion, 56 percent higher than at the Celtic Tiger peak of 2007. The study looked at both air freight and air passenger traffic from the year 2000 to 2017.

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The Lean Analytics Cycle: Metrics > Hypothesis > Experiment > Act

Occam's Razor

First, you figure out what you want to improve; then you create an experiment; then you run the experiment; then you measure the results and decide what to do. For each of them, write down the KPI you're measuring, and what that KPI should be for you to consider your efforts a success. Measure and decide what to do.

Metrics 156
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Why model calibration matters and how to achieve it

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

The numerical value of the signal became decoupled from the event it was measuring even as the ordinal value remained unchanged. bar{pi} (1 - bar{pi})$: This is the irreducible loss due to uncertainty. And users may start receiving a lot more spam! The further your predictions are from the global average the more you improve the loss.

Modeling 122
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Changing assignment weights with time-based confounders

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

For this reason we don’t report uncertainty measures or statistical significance in the results of the simulation. From a Bayesian perspective, one can combine joint posterior samples for $E[Y_i | T_i=t, E_i=j]$ and $P(E_i=j)$, which provides a measure of uncertainty around the estimate. 2] Scott, Steven L.

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Estimating causal effects using geo experiments

The Unofficial Google Data Science Blog

It is important that we can measure the effect of these offline conversions as well. Panel studies make it possible to measure user behavior along with the exposure to ads and other online elements. Let's take a look at larger groups of individuals whose aggregate behavior we can measure. days or weeks).